I think it’s too early to say how this will impact the polls. A lot of people are still processing what happened. Blowing up the government over immigration didn’t work out great for the VVD (liberal right), but perhaps Wilders’ party will fare better.
It was the protest vote that won the PVV (Wilders’ party) the last election and the BBB (farmers’ party) the Eerste Kamer (Senate) elections before that. Now that the PVV and the BBB have been in the government and achieved basically nothing, those voters are more likely to vote for left-leaning parties or stay home.
If Wilders can push the narrative that the rest of the coalition forced his hand by blocking his immigration policies, perhaps he can win the election. However, considering that even the FvD was criticizing Wilders today that might be a tall order, even in the alt-right bubble.
If Groen Links/PVDA (green/labour alliance) can convince protest voters that the solution to their problems is to tax the rich and invest that money in social programs and environmental policies, maybe they can win the elections.
(Winning the elections in this context means becoming the largest party. Nobody ever gets an absolute majority.)
I think it’s too early to say how this will impact the polls. A lot of people are still processing what happened. Blowing up the government over immigration didn’t work out great for the VVD (liberal right), but perhaps Wilders’ party will fare better.
It was the protest vote that won the PVV (Wilders’ party) the last election and the BBB (farmers’ party) the Eerste Kamer (Senate) elections before that. Now that the PVV and the BBB have been in the government and achieved basically nothing, those voters are more likely to vote for left-leaning parties or stay home.
If Wilders can push the narrative that the rest of the coalition forced his hand by blocking his immigration policies, perhaps he can win the election. However, considering that even the FvD was criticizing Wilders today that might be a tall order, even in the alt-right bubble.
If Groen Links/PVDA (green/labour alliance) can convince protest voters that the solution to their problems is to tax the rich and invest that money in social programs and environmental policies, maybe they can win the elections.
(Winning the elections in this context means becoming the largest party. Nobody ever gets an absolute majority.)