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Cake day: January 12th, 2025

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  • The key difference between all previous civilizational collapses and the one we potentially face is that most people in the past were farmers. Even in the grandest empires like Rome, less than 10% of the population actually lived in cities. Most people lived in the countryside working the land. The city of Rome lost something like 95% of its population. But those people didn’t just crawl in a hole and die. They abandoned the city and joined the vast majority of the population that was living in the countryside. Many in the countryside actually saw their quality of life improve substantially. Many who had been slaves found the old legal system enforcing their slavery no longer existed. Rome collapsing just meant the end of the grand cities; political and economic systems could fragment, and people would just live more locally.

    But today? Less than 5% of the population actually works on a farm. The vast majority of the population lives in cities. If the political and economic system collapses, the countryside can’t just absorb all those extra people. Hell, the farms can’t even operate without the equipment, fuels, and chemicals produced by the larger economic system.

    Historically, when civilizations collapsed, the common folk just left the cities, abandoned the corrupt elites to their madness, and returned to small villages and rural life. But now there is simply nowhere for people to retreat to.





  • You have a profound lack of critical thinking skills.

    Here’s what you wrote:

    Unfortunately I can’t find it again, because it was such an interesting and surprising bit of data, but I read a study some years ago that split trans people up into three categories, and compared the rate of suicide among them:

    1. in the closet
    2. out, and reported being supported overall by their community/peers after coming out
    3. out, and reported being unsupported overall by their community/peers after coming out

    If you had to guess which of the three categories had the lowest suicide rate, I bet it’d be #2, right? So did I, but actually, the group with the least suicidality was #1! The implication that never coming out at all makes a trans person less likely to take their life than coming out to people who accept and support them was stunning, but there it was, in black and white. So what does that mean, exactly?

    What this means is that you’re misremembering some study, are quoting a right wing hit piece, or are just pulling shit out of your ass. And it means you have a profound lack of critical thinking skills.

    Just think about for a second. Actually THINK about it man!

    How in the world are you going to have a study with any kind of statistical reliability, when you are polling trans people WHO ARE IN THE FUCKING CLOSET??!!

    You do understand what those words mean, do you not? You’re talking about people who are not out. You’re talking about people who are not publicly out as trans. So obviously you can’t poll these people when trying to survey the trans population. At best you can just randomly poll the population and ask random people if they’re trans. But that method never works for small minority groups, as if even 1% of cis people lie on the survey and claim to be trans just to fuck with the results, the fake trans people will out number the real trans people in the survey.

    Actually THINK about what drivel you are writing. How the hell can you make any claim about trans people that are in the closet? By definition, such people are indistinguishable from the larger cis population.

    This is why I know that you’re pulling this stuff right out of your ass. You’re making a claim that is completely nonsensical.

    You have failed at basic fundamental critical thinking.








  • By Israel’s own numbers, Hamas killed two civilians for every military casualty on October 7. This number includes Israeli civilians killed by the IDF to prevent them from becoming hostages. Since the attack, the IDF has killed far far more than two Gazan civilians for every member of Hamas they’ve taken out. They’ve leveled Gaza and corralled its population into concentration camps.

    The reason there has been no peace is that Israel doesn’t want peace. They are an expansionist state. They continuously expand their borders through the following method:

    1. Have Israeli citizens living right next to Arab populations (Palestinians and others.)

    2. Israel antagonizes their neighbors until some militant group responds violently.

    3. Send in the Israeli military to fight the militant group.

    4. Use fighting the group as cover to expel the Arab population from an area. Justify this by saying a “buffer zone” is required to separate Israelis and Arabs, like the Korean DMZ.

    5. Allow Israeli civilians to settle inside the “buffer zone.” Once again have Israelis living right next door to Arabs.

    6. Antagonize their neighbors until violence again erupts.

    This is how Israel slowly expands its borders. And they’re not stopping at Gaza and the West Bank. They’re doing the same shit in Lebanon and Syria. Arab land today. Buffer zone tomorrow. Israeli cities and towns the day after. It’s a slow claiming of Israeli lebensraum one bit at a time, and they’ve been doing this for decades.


  • Fact: Gazans have just as much right to armed self defense as the Israelis do.

    Fact: Hamas, by Israel’s own numbers, does a better job at avoiding civilian casualties than the IDF does.

    Fact: people who hand wring about Hamas are just classists. They view killing someone with a bomb dropped from a plane as morally superior to killing someone with an AK 47. Their moral judgment in the validity of violence is primarily a function of the income of the person committing the violence.


  • That wouldn’t help protect companies from liability from their LLMs. Companies are still liable for what their employees say. If your doctor gives you really bad medical advice that results in you getting heart, the hospital that employs them will be named in the medical malpractice lawsuit. If an employee at a local business throws out a minority customer, telling them “we don’t serve your kind,” the company can’t escape legal liability by saying, “that isn’t our official policy, it was just the employee exercising their first amendment rights.”

    The first amendment just means that the government can’t tell you what to say or not say. It doesn’t shield you, or the company you are an employee of, from liability for damages that arise due to something you say.

    If it doesn’t work for actual human employees, it certainly won’t work for LLMs.




  • You know, this is actually the type of fear that the zombie horror genre really reverses back on us. Classic zombies are not fast. They’re not smart. They can’t run, climb, or plan elaborate traps. They have no sharp claws or terrifyingly large teeth. You can outrun them at a brisk walk.

    But what makes them so dangerous is that they’re relentless. If they get your scent, they’ll follow you and keep following you. Blow their legs off and they’ll crawl towards you. Remove all their limbs and they’ll slither like a snake towards you. Only destroying their brain can stop them.

    If you’re on foot, it is virtually impossible to escape them, as they’ll just keep on coming. And while you need to sleep, they don’t. They can just keep right on shuffling towards you 24/7. If on foot being chased by a zombie, your best bet is probably to find a river you can swim across that will sweep them away. Oh, and of course, they are rarely alone.

    Zombies are predators that turn our species’s natural hunting strategy back upon us.