🔮 (on average) Predictions may relate to your personal life or grand tectonic shifts in our constantly changing world. Assess your own prediction accuracy.
🔮 (on average) Predictions may relate to your personal life or grand tectonic shifts in our constantly changing world. Assess your own prediction accuracy.
So your success rate with predictions is greater than 50% ?
Kinda? Predictions aren’t a binary, often times I get more aspects correct but details wrong. The future isn’t knowable, but reasonable and accurate predictions can be made.
Good point with predictions not being binary. It is hard to assess prediction accuracy, so I guess this entire question I asked here is useless?
That’s a matter of perspective, if it opens up the conversation to tangential subjects, ie me saying Marxism-Leninism has helped, then it’s still a useful conversation starter. Depends on what you want to get out of this post.
I mean yeah in general, using a theoretical construct to enhance prediction accuracy is a good strategy I guess.
I believe with better predictions we can have better lives in a uncertain world.
What are your thoughts on prediction markets? Are they gambling?
Yes, I guess so. As for Marxism-Leninism, it’s a tool for working class liberation and a frame of analysis, not really a construct.