I want to plan for the effects of climate change. Where can I read what effects are likely to happen, when and where? I want to know what systems I can or can’t rely on, which places will be more hospitable etc.
I’d like something concise and accessible for a lay person. A short book would be preferable.
The fairly active Sea Artic Ice internet forum is a great resource with generally very high quality discussion between various experts.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/
Check out the Science and especially Consequences subforums under AGW for really good starting points.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/board,25.0.html
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/board,1.0.html
I also really like the Climate Science youtube creator Paul Beckwith. His presentation style is very lowkey and straight forward, he explains climate science papers and news section by section giving nonexperts lots of context as he goes. I think Paul embodies everything a good climate science communicator should, at least for the kind of content he makes.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NDx5cn-1o9g
A good compass for orienting how MUCH things are changing vs how they did during records from the 20th century is the Daily Sea Surface Temperature data visualization on Climate Reanalyzer.org
https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/
Understand that if you do some back of the envelope physics calculations about how much excess heat energy is in the oceans from anthropogenic caused climate change it is in thousands and thousands of hiroshima bombs of energy. Thus not only is climate change best explained by beginning with a conversation about the heating of the ocean because it is simply The Biggest Part of it, the oceans immense heat storage capacity and vast dominating spatial extent connects all of the other effects of climate change into a complex feedback chain where quasi-stable conditions arise after periods of acceleratory extremes.
The Earth’s Climate System is the kind of tangle of feedbacks, delays, echos and distortions that would make even a noise guitarist musician blush, so the best place to begin is by understanding how the ocean functions as the main interconnecting medium of chemical and physical exchanges of energy on earth (well… besides plate tectonics but yeah that is a much longer scale…).
I recommend checking in on the basic sea surface stats at Climate Renanalyzer periodically to get a good birds eye view of where the world is at in terms of climate change.